(Scouts, Inc. Rating, Rank are noted)
Luke Joeckel - OT, Texas A&M (Scouts' Rating: 97, Overall Rank: #1)
Ah, to return home. This pick has changed many times since Mock #1, but I'm locking in Joeckel at 1. The Chiefs have found their QB in Alex Smith, who has only improved over the last few years (30 TD, 10 INT, 95.1 Rating since 2011) and one could argue the 2nd-round pick they gave up for Smith got them both Smith and Bowe, who signed a five-year deal. Interest in Geno Smith fell after the most-recent QB shuffle, which will likely cause the Chiefs to stay at #1 here. While there's some buzz for Dion Jordan or Sharrif Floyd, Luke is the overwhelming favorite. Expect KC to deal Albert to Arizona, Miami, or maybe even San Diego when the LT pool runs dry as early as #5.
Eric Fisher - OT, Central Michigan (96, #3)
First mini-surprise of the draft. The Jags may view Fisher as the draft's best player like some other teams. If so, it they may run a 4.42 40 time up to the podium with this pick. Fisher fills a need, has a higher ceiling than Joeckel, and makes all facets of protection look easy, making himself a perfect building block for a franchise. Dion Jordan and Geno Smith are both viable options here, but the Jags make the O-line run officially on here at 2.
Sharrif Floyd - DT43, Florida (97, #2)
Oakland will finally fix their issues straight up the middle and maybe develop into a top defense, one that has the pieces already in place to be great. With Joeckel and Fisher off the board in this mock, the Raiders have options, but they need to beef up right up front before they can be more effective and cannot miss on this pick. They're only equipped with picks 3, 66, 100, and 193 in the top 200. The Raiders may choose to deal this pick to a team like Miami, Arizona, or San Diego in their reach for Lane Johnson.
Star Lotulelei - DT34, Utah (96, #6)
Another surprise pick: the Eagles beef up their terrible defensive interior line by adding the all-clear Lotulelei to help a run defense that was gashed last year. With Geno Smith on the board, they may go that direction, but I am convinced they pick either a defensive lineman here (Chip Kelly/Dion Jordan reunion, say some) or dry up the well with Lane Johnson.
Lane Johnson - OT, Oklahoma (94, #13)
Johnson, benefitting from a middle-heavy offensive tackle class, parches the Lions' need for protection on Stafford's blindside after LT Jaff Backus retired somewhat suddenly in the offseason. This pick is another trade hotbed, considering Detroit's need for pass rushers and defensive backs. As one of the more underachieving teams in 2012, the Lions might be looking to restart their franchise quickly with an anchor of a left tackle.
Dee Milliner - CB, Alabama (96, #3)
I love this fit for a number of reasons. The Browns defense was 10th in the league, but 8th worst against the pass. That could (and should, if available) push them to draft Ziggy Ansah to create more rush. Of course, this mock leaves both Dion Jordan and Geno Smith on the board. If Lane Johnson makes it to 6, this is a lock to be traded, allowing Cleveland to recoup their 2nd round pick used on WR Josh Gordon in the supplemental draft.
Geno Smith - QB, West Virginia
Geno Smith has all the tools to be an NFL quarterback. That is the first thing that needs to be stated. That out of the way, he will need to be groomed, making Arizona a decent starting sitation for a young passer. Geno can accurately throw deep routes including those outside the numbers, but is immobile and is not a runner. Still, Larry Fitzgerald makes any throw a little bit easier. What will be more interesting is if the Cardinals choose a non-quarterback, forcing the Bills to make the most exciting pick of the draft.
Dion Jordan - OLB, Oregon (95, #3)
Ezekiel Ansah - DE43, BYU (95, #6)
I can't to it anymore. I can't deny the growing legend that is Ziggy Ansah. After a stock that shot up boards all offseason and an unstoppable Senior Bowl, Ansah was a combine standout, dominating his competition. That's all fine and well, until the report surfaced that unlike his counterparts at other schools, Ansah still had a full schedule at BYU and continued to go to all his classes and not train for the combine. Oh. As one scout said, Ansah is like the student that gets an A when he didn't study and you got a C+ after cramming all night. Here, he rebuilds the minor league Jets defense post-Revis.
Barkevious Mingo - OLB34, LSU (94, #9)
Vaccaro will support a Chargers team that may be in it to win now despite a lack of premier talent on the roster. In the second round, expect them to try to get depth back (if they do not use it on some sort of top 5 trade for a tackle), as they are one of the aging, underachieving league's of the last decade. Also, getting no compensation for WR Vincent Jackson doesn't help, considering the team was expecting at least a 5/6 comp pick.
Bjoern Werner - DE43, Florida State (93, #14)
Werner can help a Miami team that has reeled in big free agents but lost equally big ones, including LT Jake Long, RB Reggie Bush, and CB Sean Smith. While they are in talks to trade for a LT in Brandon Albert on the other side of the ball, Werner has the lowest corner edge that I've personally ever scouted when rushing the pass and sheds on runs instantly. He is somewhat raw after coming over from Germany, but Werner is a playmaker. He does get lazy sometimes, but that's just the nature of the beast with Bjoern
Sheldon Richardson - DT43, Missouri (93, #14)
Sheldon Richardson is the complete package at tackle and his stock is shooting up many draftnik's boards, as high as to KC at #1 overall. He shows fantastic potential and may not be available come pick 14. Some mocks have him going first overall, but that seems to have fallen off. Either way, Carolina will finally fix their issues straight up the middle and maybe develop into a top defense, one that has the pieces already in place to be great.
Alec Ogletree - ILB, Georgia (94, #12)
Despite my crush on Ogletree-to-the-Bengals, his value has ascended to a point where he will probably not last through the top 20. Ogletree will create mismatches in the second level. While not a cerebral, smart player (this note is old, now simply confirmed), Ogletree is quick, fast, hits hard, tackles well and has decent instincts. Equipped with two first round picks, St. Louis can pick for talent after acquiring LT Jake Long in free agency.
Jonathan Cooper - OG, North Carolina (94, #10)
The Cowboys continue their multi-year project to make their line younger by taking Cooper at 19. While not what draft idiots call a "sexy" pick, Cooper is a stud, called by many the safest pick in the draft and the best best to line up in Honolulu blue first.
Desmond Trufant - CB, Washington (90, #23)
The Giants seem to be the NFL's fastest-aging secondary, going from elite to elderly in what feels like months. If Prince can get healthy, New York could have an athletic defensive backfield, something that is highly recommended with Robert Griffin, Tony Romo, and Mike Vick in your division, all for different reasons.
Chance Warmack - OG, Alabama (95, #8)
With Ogletree off the board here, they could go with Minter up the middle, but Warmack seems like a better pick. There is talk of Chance being the being worthy of a top 10 pick, but I would need to see a little more momentum before I can commit to that. Warmack, a stud lineman from Alabama, will beef up a line that has struggled for years. Warmack is the whole package: smart, strong, experienced, polished lineman in Chance Warmack who is really a top five prospect whose own position is his biggest drawback.
Kevin Minter - ILB, LSU (88, #30)
Small, not physical, but my notes describe his game best: "great instincts, speed, intelligence, aggressive, consistently great timing." Minter attacks off the snap better than any other in the draft, and his hand placement and wasted steps can be fixed. The Bengals further solidify a top-10, maybe top-5 defense and make themselves a force to be reckoned with in the AFC North, emerging as favorites even over the defending-champion Ravens.
DeAndre Hopkins - WR, Clemson (86, #42)
Jesse Williams - DT34, Alabama (83, #55)
Xavier Rhodes - CB, Florida State (86, #38)
Picking for the second time in three picks, the Vikings replace their other huge loss, CB Antoine Winfield, with a serviceable rookie. I am not as excited about Rhodes in the top 20 as everyone else, but there is definitely huge potential shown, especially in his junior tape, but I think he's good value at the end of first/beginning of the secound round and fits the Vikings' scheme perfectly. While I don't expect the Vikings to contend in 2013, I think their quick turnover and replacing will help them down the road.
Cordarelle Patterson - WR, Tennessee (89, #28)
Keenan Allen - WR, California (91, #22)
Damontre Moore - DE43, Texas A&M (87, #38)
Some believed Moore to be the best prospect in the draft, and I wasn't too far behind. After a horrific combine and interview that made it worse, it appears he may be slipping even further. Damontre is a great combination of speed, motor, strength, and good technique. He wrecks games from the DE position, can line up all over the place due to versatility from size and is stout against both the pass and the run, showing all the skills needed to translate to the professional level. Looking out the updated Scouts' Inc. rating, Moore appears to be losing steam for top 5 or even top 15. Moore is scary in Denver, giving them another pass rusher in a "get to the quarterback or bust" defense.
Jamar Taylor - CB, Boise State (89, #29)
The Patriots fill a need with Poyer, a scrappy corner with good size and can change directions, backpedal, and make plays on the ball well. He is energetic and anticipates routes effectively, but lacks ideal speed to be an elite corner.
Jordan Poyer - CB, Oregon State
Poyer is a talent, but there is more talk of both Atlanta and/or San Fransisco jumping as high as #10 to aggressively get the players they target. Atlanta, who did the same for Julio Jones, and San Fransisco, who has too many picks to even make their current roster, seem like safe bets to trade up.
Manti Te'o - LB, Notre Dame (90, #24)
Everyone laughed when I mocked Te'o to the Ravens in Mock 6. With the retiring of Lewis and signing of Ellerbe to Miami, this pick would make the most sense for Baltimore. First thing to make clear, this is a good pick at 32. Before you tell me how you saw John Harbaugh shake his head at Te'o's 40 time (4.82) and thus know what an NFL general manager is going to do in the draft (you don't/I don't), realize that there are hours of tape on Te'o that support him as a first round grade. I was surprised the early signing of Flacco did not allow the Ravens to retain at least some of their players, but I still see Te'o going here at 32 as they take the value and wait for Round 2 (below, needs: WR, OLB, S, C). That's my pick and I'm stickin' to it.
33.Cornellius Carradine - DE43, FSU
34.Eric Reid - FS, LSU
35.D.J. Fluker - OT, Alabama
36.Alex Okafor - DE43, Texas
37.Matt Elam - SS, Florida
38.Menelik Watson - OT, FSU
39.Sam Mongomery - OLB, LSU
40.Johnthan Banks - CB, Miss. St.
41.Matt Barkley - QB, USC
42.Brennan Williams - OT, UNC
43.Kawann Short - DT, Purdue
44.Justin Hunter - WR, Tennessee
45.Johnathan Hankins - DT, Ohio St.
46.Arthur Brown - ILB, K-State
47.Jonathan Jenkins - DT43, Georgia
48.Eddie Lacy - RB, Alabama
49.Zach Ertz - TE, Stanford
50.Khaseem Greene - ILB, Rutgers
51.David Amerson - CB, NC State
52.Sio Moore - ILB, UCONN
53.Giovani Bernard - RB, UNC
54.Darius Slay - CB, Miss. State
55.Margus Hunt - DE34, SMU
56.Corey Lemonier - DE43, Auburn
57.Logan Ryan - CB, Rutgers
58.Jonathan Cyprien - SS, FIU
59.Robert Woods - WR, USC
60.Larry Warford - OG, Kentucky
61.William Gholston - DE, Mich. St.
62.Terrance Williams - WR, Baylor
63.Barret Jones - C/G, Alabama
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